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美国经济好转 国际黄金现货窄幅震荡

关键字:国际黄金现货

【基本面】

美国经济形势继续好转,美国经济有望加速增长,市场对于美国经济的乐观期待推动股市在美联储削减QE规模后继续上涨。市场已经认识到美联储削减QE正是因为美国经济出现实质性改善,美股有望延续牛市。IMF总裁拉加德日内表示美国经济正在加速,而且随着商业环境更加确定,预计2014年美国经济增长速度会进一步加快,此前美国第三季度GDP年率升至4.1%,创下近两年来新高。

日内公布的美国11月个人收入环比增长0.2%,低于市场预期0.5%;另外11月消费者支出环比增长0.5%,与预期持平,创下5各月来新高。美国12月密歇根大学消费者信心指数终值82.5,低于市场预期。美国经济数据整体上仍是呈现改善迹象,这为美股继续上涨奠定了基础。

 

【技术分析】

黄金昨收1198.3美元每盎司,小幅下跌4.5美元。今日早盘仍维持在开盘价格附近窄幅震荡。 昨日下午17:30―18:15,黄金短时内产生了一波跌幅,而即便美国个人消费数据好于预期,也未能构成对黄金的明显打压。即将到来的圣诞假期令黄金市场的波动性落入低点,期货持仓量减少,而现货头寸亦缺乏改变的动能。 短期内,现货黄金下方面临1179.6―1180.2的关键支持位,如下破该水平则可打开下方宽阔的空间。黄金现报1197.3美元每盎司,早盘下跌1.0美元。

 

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