美股暴涨 现货黄金走势受压
关键字：现货黄金走势
【基本面】
美股在美联储宣布削减QE之后出现“卖消息，买事实”的暴涨行情，表明市场已经完全消化这一预期，同时美联储削减购债规模已经不是投资者值得担忧的关键风险事件，因该央行同时表示将在长时间内维持超低的利率政策，依然宽松的货币环境保障了企业的低成本融资，仍利好股市。更重要的是，随着越来越多的经济数据显示美国经济复苏动能增强，且全球范围内并没有重大的负面风险事件，对于投资者来说，美股无疑仍是最佳的投资选择。从这个角度来说，美股的涨势已经进入了自我的良性循环之中，除非短期利率急速上升，否则市场仍处于风险偏好投资模式之下，投资者将继续追逐高收益资产。
未来的问题是美国经济正的强势到足以令投资者完全高枕无忧吗？尤其是美国经济因高企的库存而导致GDP大幅上修以及失业率因就业参与率大幅下降而稳步降低的隐藏风险值得注意。另外由于2013年美股回报率远远超过其他资产的表现，使得更多的基金经理人和投机者将加入了到配置美股的队伍当中。
【技术分析】
从日线来看，昨日收取一根小阴星，日线仍运行于下降通道之中，MA均线空头排列，金价承压于5日均线运行，布林继续开口，附图指标MACD死叉持续放量，KDJ超卖之后聚合于20附近，RSI走平运行于低位，日线依旧呈现弱势发展格局，但金价接近于近几年低点1180低位，没有消息面的刺激恐一时难以击穿；
从4小时来看，金价承压于布林中轨1204并沿着MA5以及MA10运行，上周五金价自测试1186附近之后反弹，4小时呈现圆弧顶形态，小幅反弹之后受阻于1208承压回落，从而使得附图指标MACD金叉红色动能衰减殆尽，DEA、DIF于低位粘合，至于能否转化为死叉，还有待观察，KDJ粘合之后向下发散，RSI走平运行于35附近，短期金价若未能站稳1204一线，价格仍有进一步回落的可能。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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