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国际现货黄金站稳1200上方 不排除下滑

关键字:国际现货黄金

【基本面】

根据最新一期的CFTC报告,目前澳元的投机净空头再次回到了8月份时候的记录最高水平。在年底缺乏进一步刺激 打压澳元的情况下,获利盘的了结或将带动澳元走高。而与此同时,之前澳元的走势与美国10年期国债收益率呈现明显的负相关性。然而近来美国10年期国债收益率不断上涨,距离数年高点3%仅仅一步之遥。虽然美联储上周宣布削减QE规模,不过美债收益率的大幅攀升仍令人怀疑是否市场已经对此有了充足预期。澳元上周在美联储缩减QE后打下的数年低位为0.8818。金价与澳元有亲密关联。

 

【行情分析】

美国联邦储备委员会上周19日宣布小幅缩减QE规模,伦敦金价格一路下滑,跌破1200美元关口,最低下探至1187美元,创下近3年来历史低点,今年以来国际现货黄金价格已经累计下跌近30%,逼近6月28日触及的三年半低位。金价回到1200美元关口上方,持稳于1203美元排回,上周末前的一轮空头回补和实货买盘推动金价反弹。

预测今日金价1205-1185上落。

 

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