美联储退市态度强硬 日内黄金市场将扩大跌幅
关键字：黄金市场
【基本面】
10月份会议纪要显示美联储委员预计未来公布的经济数据与公开市场委员就有关就业市场逐渐好转的展望一致，因此未来几个月中缩减QE规模变得合理。这一声明意味着美联储退出QE的步伐可能会早于市场预期，目前市场预期美联储可能会在明年3月份削减QE规模。但是有美联储委员如果11月份就业数据越好，则有可能在12月份削减QE规模。美联储推出的QE刺激美国股市大幅上涨，一旦美联储开始缩减QE规模，股市短期内或将开始调整继续回落。
日内公布的10月份零售销售月率环比上涨0.4%，市场预期环比不变。零售数据的好转提升了市场信心，美股日内开盘小幅高开，但是在高位震荡后逐渐回落。另外10月份CPI环比下降0.1%，市场预期通胀水平较上月不变。另外9月份商业库存增长0.6%，好于市场预期0.3%。
【行情分析】
黄金在美联储10月份会议纪要公布后进一步扩大日内跌幅，刷新7月份以来新低，先报于1258.5美元/盎司。会议纪要显示美联储内部支持在经济数据改善后逐渐减少QE规模，美联储态度似乎比市场预期强硬，贵金属价格或将进一步承压下行。从技术分析上看，日图上黄金在反弹受阻1300美元/盎司后再次转为下行，在跌破10月份新低后黄金有望打开进一步下行空间。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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