缺乏市场消息刺激 金价反弹机会低
关键字：金价反弹
【基本面】
周一美国退伍军人纪念日，市场消息清淡，美股延续近期以来强势表现小幅上涨，原油价格小幅上涨，纽约原油期货收盘上涨0.6%，报于95.14美元/桶。
在非农就业数据公布后市场缺乏重要经济数据，继续公布的第三季度企业财报将成为市场关注焦点。目前公布的第三季度企业财报总体好于市场预期，美国企业盈利能力继续改善。本周将陆续公布零售企业财报，这能从侧面反映美国的消费状况，如果企业财报继续好于市场预期，消费者购买力增强，美股有望继续刷新高。
美联储会不会在12月份货币政策会议上退出QE依然是市场关注焦点，在此之前股市可能会反复震荡。本周美联储主席提名人耶伦将会接受质询，10月份美国强劲的非农就业数据刺激市场认为美联储可能会提前退出QE，耶伦的态度或许能透漏美联储的政策立场。
【技术分析】
1小时图上表现的尤为明显，boll收缩平行运行，k线全部呈小实体平行排列，macd在0轴下方形成金叉后并未放量而是平行向上延伸，短线上这是表示指标修复而并不是将要止跌，下方还有空间。而结合大周期周线来看，上周一根阴柱直接击穿中轨与5ma的支撑，带动macd红柱缩量，若形成死叉那么中期弱势又要到来。天图上各均线空头排列向下发散，macd死叉开始放量，不过boll下轨1272附近支撑在今日早间可以依赖。4小时上5ma打压金价比较明显，反弹空间很小。所以今日早间反弹做空比较保险。
操作建议：
1、早间首次反弹1285-1287做空，止损3个点，目标1280-1278，破位减仓持有看1272
2、下方首次见1272-1273轻仓短多，止损3个点，目标1276-1278
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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