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日内缺乏数据推动 金价窄幅横行

关键字:金价行情

【行情分析】

上周五国际现货金在亚盘开市开在1308美元,因市场上投资者观望在晚上所公布的美国重要的非农及失业率,强劲的非农数据推动美元指数大幅上涨至两个月高点81.48,拖累伦敦金跌破1300美元整数关口后急挫至日内低点1281美元。

在亚盘开市后一直维持窄幅横行上落,平淡走势横跨整个亚盘及欧盘,维持在1308 ~1312美元横行,但临近美盘开市前,金价曾经做出全日最高位1313美元后开始作向下回调,当美盘开巿时,同时公布美国10月非农人数,前值是14.8万,预测是12.5万,结果是20.4人,结果大幅好于前价及预期,而失业率是7.3%,合乎预期,非农人数录得较大的增长,即是打压黄金的避险功能,令金价从1307美元附近急速下滑,一直维持下行走势,破近日的1300美元重要支持位后,更一直到1280美元附近才有所支持,难然在其后所公布美国10月密歇根消费者信心指数差于预期,但只是令金价在低位少幅反弹在1285美元继续横行,最后收在1288美元。

而今天日内公布的数据不多,因些金价今天只作窄幅横行为主。今天预测先少幅上升后作横行市况,因为经过上周五所公布的非农大幅做好,显示美国经济持续好转,可能令投资者再次把焦点集中在美国是否最快在年底考虑退出QE,如这样,金价可能会进一步受压。

【技术分析】

日线图显示,金价跌破5日平均线,MACD利淡交叉,RSI持续走低。小时图显示,平均线向下发散,OSC萎缩。表明金价失守1300美元关口后下跌动能增加,关注1280美元一线支持,建议逢高做空。预计短期,伦敦金将维持在1283-1296美元区间修整,若跌破1280美元,则进一步下探10月17日低点1274.2美元。

今天建议区间在1275~1298美元,上方见1295美元附近,可试向下做空,如上破1300美元,相反,要向上做多;而下方见1275美元附近,可向上做多,相反,如穿位1272美元,可向下做空。

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