Fed维持QE短暂提振金价 黄金回吐涨势
关键字:金价下跌
【行情分析】
较早时,联储局在周三议息会后,一如预期地维持量化宽松措施不变。会后声明中删减了一些较悲观字眼。此外,周三公布的经济数据不理想,以及蓝筹公布的业绩反映收入增长减弱,是导致美股3大指数高位掉头下滑的主因。金价也从站位点落。
联储局会后声明似乎与上次声明没有分别,但因为金市正处于牛气升温状态,没有较预期佳的消息,足以拖累大市回落。早前升势,是带有憧憬会后声明披露较长时间维持量宽措施的内容,但最后公布的消息没有此内容,因而引发获利回吐。
市场对联储局会后声明的反应显示,投资者忧虑当局会较预期更早启动减买债安排。市场原先普遍估计,联储局不会在明年3月前减买债。
此外,美国私人转薪公司ADP公布的10月私人职位新增数量,创半年以来最低水平。同时,美国消费物价指数显示通胀温和。两指数均支持联储局维持量宽措施不变。
【技术分析】
如今金价升势也被确认了,所以也就是开始下跌的时候了。因为近期都是反过来炒。见到入货讯号就要沽货,见到沽货讯号就要入货。自从美国政府结束停摆后,100 天WMA 己转跌为升,下调黄金比率也到达0.618。子浪第四浪也在100 天WMA 线之处找到支持。
黄金小幅回落,日图目前回落10日均线位置支持,有望继续下行。小时图形显示跌破楔形形态后回落,技术下行完好,后市倾向于逢高做空。
【今日关注】
13:00 JP 按年计算的新屋开工
14:00 JP 日本央行展望报告
n/a JP 日央行行长黑田东彦演讲
15:00 UK Nationwide季度调整后房屋价格指数(月比)
15:00 UK Nationwide未经季度调整后房价指数(年比)
18:00 EMU 失业率
18:00 EMU 消费者物价指数(年比)
18:00 EMU 核心消费者物价指数(年比)
20:30 US 初领失业救济金人数
20:30 US 续领失业救济金人数
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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