美联储退市将造成全球资金紧张 黄金避险性现
关键字:美联储退市、黄金避险性
【基本面】
承接上文有关联储局退市对环球投资市场,以至经济会带来什么影响,我们如果要知道退市所带来的影响,首先要清楚量化宽松对投资市场和经济带来的影响。
所谓量化宽松,最简单的定义是开动印钞机不断印,直到市场够用,但此举会令市场一下子资金过剩,恶性通胀。美国所实行的量化宽松措施即不同,其实美国入市买回自己的债劵,令银行资金稳定,固金融海啸最大的问题就是连银行资金也紧张,做生意的无法向银行借钱,营运不了就只好倒闭,失业率也因而急升,GDP向下,08年底开始的QE1,2,3正正解决了资金的问题,整个市场不停有新的资金进入,银行也能重新放贷,企业有增长,也会增加工作职位,失业率有所改善,投资市场方面 ,QE政策令美元供应大增,但失去升值的潜力,投资者都在市场找和美元对冲的方法,造就了黄金的大牛市,同样受惠的还有楼市,股市,债市等。
一旦退市,市场将有什么变化?明天详细讲解。
【行情分析】
目前市场对金价的看涨呼声高涨,上周五公布的调查显示,本周看多的市场人士近80%.少数人看空。市场上基本还是炒退市,政府停罢,影响美国经济。金价今日窄幅上落于1340-1355之间。基本因素似乎利好黄金价格,暂时阻力1355,如果上破这位下一个位在1375-1380。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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