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两党有望达成协议 黄金日内走势震荡

关键字:黄金走势

【基本面】

周一受美国两党有望就预算问题达成协议消息提振,美股连续四个交易日上涨。道琼斯指数收盘0.42%,报于15301.26;纳斯达克收盘上涨0.62%,报于3815.27;标普500收盘上涨0.41%,报于1710.14。原油价格继续在近期低点附近震荡,纽约原油期货收盘上涨0.4%,报于101.06美元/桶。

参议院多数党领袖里德称他非常乐观两党将在本周就预算问题达成协议,参议院少数党领袖麦康内尔也与此表示乐观。两党的表态令市场情绪更加乐观,由于美国无法承受债务违约带来的严重后果,达成预算协议提高债务上限几乎是必然,股市在前期大幅下跌后开始反弹。目前两党还就协议的具体细节进行讨论协商,但是市场信心的回升有望推动股市继续上涨。

周一由于哥伦布纪念日美国没有经济数据公布,但是随着企业财报季的来临,重要企业的企业财报的好坏将会决定股市的走势。另外中国本周即将公布的第三季度GDP数据将会成为市场重点关注对象,中国第三季度经济数据有回暖迹象,中国第三季度GDP增速可能会超出市场预期,美股有望获得提振。

 

【技术分析】

黄金日内走势震荡,日图上黄金下行趋势明显,在上周五刷新低后黄金有望打开进一步下行空间。

从周线收线来看目前大趋势还是一个空头格局,下方关注周初低点支撑1260,继续跌破有望再次激发一波中继下跌,下方目标1230附近。而上方的多空分水岭在1295这个位置。短期日内上方需要关注的是昨日尾盘高点1280附近一带,下方则是昨日低点1270-1268一带。既然目前大趋势依然锁定空头格局,操作上继续以反弹高位做空为主。

操作建议:

1,昨日晚间金评给出的1290附近中线空单建议,目前第一目标带1265附近已到,可减仓并推损1282上可继续持有。

2,日内反弹至1275-1277做空,止损1280上,目标1268-1265,破位继续持有。

3,跌破1265,反弹1268附近做空,止损1272上,目标看1262-1260破位。

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