美股走势偏好 黄金期货受打压
关键字:美股走势、黄金期货
【行情回顾】
上周五金价上涨受压,最高每盎司1325美元,其后回到最低每盎司1305美元。
消息近日大多数来都围绕美国两党就预算案问题讨论,还未有结果,相信连日来不断炒这个消息,讨论上又没有突破,市场已逐步消化,加上上周五非农业就业数据因政府部门关闭,所以没有公布,美股近段时间略为偏好,打压金价。
【美股盘后】
经历二天跌势后,美国股市周五收高。但政府关门进入了第四天,投资人依旧谨慎。道琼工业平均指数收高76.10点或0.51%至15072.58。政府关门创造了诸多不确定性,估计约有80万名联邦员工放无薪假。政府关门亦让原定周五公布的9月就业报告延后。自经济衰退以来,就业报告成为最受瞩目的经济指标。投资人持续关注华盛顿有关预算协议与调高举债上限的发展。若未能调高举债上限,将对全球经济,股市,债券与汇市造成重大冲击。虽然政治僵局引发了华尔街动荡,但有专家说,这也为股市创造了逢低买进机会。
【基本面】
由于美国多项经济数据因政府部门局部拉闸,可能押后公布,本周市场焦点将继续落在国会的财政预算及债务上限的谈判进展,此外美国企业新一轮业绩期即将揭幕,联储局上月会议纪录出炉及再有多名官员发言,也会备受投资者关注。踏入业绩期,摩根大通会成为首只放榜的道指蓝筹,将于周五公布业绩,以往为业绩期打响头炮的前道指成分股美国铝业则于周二放榜。美国预算及债限争拗僵局仍是市场主轴,纽约梅隆银行财富管理投资总监格罗霍斯基表示,投资者憧憬国会最终能迎刃而解,大市气氛略为提振,但历史经验而言,憧憬不能视为升市策略,观乎上周五纵使升市,但成交量低,足见市场仍充满疑虑。本周焦点关注周三美国会议记录。
操作建议:
图表上金价仍然在1350-1277上落。
短线价位暂在1298与1325间上落,及后倾向升试1356及1375阻力,进一步升穿确认市况走强,届时将再挑战1434阻力,穿位目标为1488甚至1532。短线支持在1277及1267,失守下望1238。
1、在1300美元水平做多,止赚设在1310美元,止损设在1295美元。
2、在1325美元水平做空,止赚设在1315美元,止损设在1330美元。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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