花旗银行预测明年黄金随QE退市扩大跌势
关键字：黄金走势、QE
【基本面分析】
在上周五布拉德的讲话激起了市场关于美联储将于10月会议上缩减QE的预期后,黄金交易者变得更为谨慎。金价周一亚市盘中区间震荡。现货金自布拉德讲话之后算起已累计下跌2.9%。巴克莱银行经济学家表示,仍然维持美联储将推迟至12月开始缩减QE规模的观点,并在其报告中指出,黄金未来的表现仍然与QE缩减密切相关;虽然美元相较新兴市场货币的走弱有可能提振黄金的实物需求,然而这并不足以扭转黄金的趋势。于此相对应的,花旗银行也于近日发布报告, 预计黄金2014年将随美联储退出QE而扩大跌势。
黄金下午行情，金价今早早段回软，回落至1313后略略回升，金价升至1330上方。由于美国8月NAR季后调后成屋签约销售月率和上周初请失业金人数都开好，令金价受压，另外美国债务上限的问题暂时获得缓解，但始终一直延迟。
【技术分析】
金价反弹受阻20日均线再次大幅回落，黄金日K线在上周的上涨与跌落中触及布林带中轨后折返向下，现时处于下降趋势。短期仍可能震荡，关注上方阻力位1370，下方支撑位1300，视乎能否反弹冲破上方阻力位，若冲破则可以选择逢高做空。
预测今日金价将在1310-1370之间波动。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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