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今日下午黄金走势分析

关键字:今日黄金走势

【行情回顾】

上周美联储主席伯南克公布暂时维持每月850的购债令金价涨至每盎司1374美元,但其后市场人士预期下一次的会议再会继续削减购债规模,令金价受压回落至每盎司1313美元,另一方面法兴银行下调下季度金价,所以有短线的调整回落。短线的支撑位在每盎司1300美元。

【基本面分析】

黄金今天早上已回调到1313美元,主要市场认为这次不退市,最快10月份才有机会退市,所以金价只能维持短期内的上涨,除了美联储宣布暂不退市外,还有美国的债务上限问题,奥巴马与国会当中曾经跟国会成员洽谈过,但最终没有结果,未来的焦点会部分放在债务上限这个问题上,前两年的金价因为债务上限曾经上升至1920历史高位。

【技术分析】

日线图显示,RSI持稳50下方,OSC维持负面。小时图显示,平均线向下运行,BB开口向下。表明金价下行动能明显,短线整理后仍有走低风险,适合逢高做空。预计短期内伦敦金将反弹测试60日平均线1330美元,若受阻回落,则向下视乎能否穿破1300支撑位。

预期今天金价将在1304-1348波动。

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