美联储缩减QE预期已影响金价
关键字:美联储、QE、黄金走势
美联储缩减量化宽松政策或不会使黄金大幅受压,皆因金价自今春便开始下滑,表示市场已经将美联储在今年减少买债的因素反映于金价当中。
为期两日的美联储公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议将于周三结束,大部分金融市场人士都认为美联储将会小幅减少买债。金价于今年初大幅下滑是因为市场预期美联储终将会减少买债。因此,我们并不认为美联储宣布缩减量化宽松后,金价会出现4月和6月时的庞大跌幅。但这并不代表黄金不会因为美联储的缩减计划而受压。虽然美联储宣布缩减买债后,市场的即时反应可能不利于黄金,但接下来的黄金走势便会着眼于缩减买债的规模和时间表。美联储何时结束量化宽松比何时开始缩减买债更加重要。
若美联储推迟原定于2014年6月结束量化宽松的期限,预料对黄金的不利影响将低于其他的可能情况。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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