多重负面因素打压金价 印度卢比将为金价支撑
关键字：印度卢比、金价行情
【基本面分析】
黄金市场已经在亚市早盘跌穿1300关口，无论美联储是否在本周或是以后的时间里决定缩减量化宽松规模，现时打压金价下行一是由于美国通膨数据温和，而通常情况下，投资者会利用黄金投资来对冲通胀风险，但现在全球的通胀率水平较低，而且还在进一步下降。二是黄金的战争避险情绪减弱，在回报率上不及相对高风险的股票及相关投资产品。三是有关美国政府借债上限的争论可能对金价造成影响，美国联邦政府将在10月上旬触及借债上限，市场很可能对此作出反响。
近期卢比上涨或能为黄金带来不少支撑，此前在8月末美元/卢比曾触及69.22高点，但一周前汇价已逐步回落至64-65区域。眼下美元/卢比已进一步下跌至63.34，从周二的走势来看，黄金价格的确是受到了卢比升值的影响而出现小幅反弹，同时预计未来卢比还将继续上涨，短期这种利好因素还将继续支撑黄金。另外，由于印度政府非常重视该国的黄金市场，预计未来该国实物金需求将走强。
【技术分析】
日线上的K线阻力1298受阻出现一定回落，结合日线以及4小时K线支撑，金价短暂支撑点1291。上方1313-1316是反弹的第一阻力区，视乎能否穿过阻力位而支撑上行，建议轻仓空单。
预期金价会在1287-1303波动。
推荐阅读：
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.