今日国际黄金走势分析
关键字：今日黄金
【基本面分析】
黄金价格在美联储决议前，周三亚市早盘再次跳空，价格跌破1300美元录得8月8日以来新低1291.54美元/盎司。金价自从在叙利亚局势紧张直飚1434美元旋即下跌，尽管周日萨默斯退出美联储继任主席选举，一度打压美元，提振金价至1320，但反弹力度不高，市场氛围以空头为主，近五周以来黄金价格高低波幅为130余点。
投资者在美联储公布议息结果前纷纷将手上的货平仓，加上跌破1300后止损不断，令金价短期内受压，这次议息结果将于凌晨2:00公布，如消息公布跟预期反差较大，金价将会于短期内出现剧烈波动。
金价连续多个交易日出现明显跌势，美国当地时间周三（9月18日），稍晚美联储将结束比较受瞩目的议息会议，市场预期或许会宣布削减850亿美元的购债规模，尽管此前一段时间，市场曾经对美联储是否在9月利率协议开始缩减量化宽松规模的问题产生疑问，但随着9月真正到来，现在市场似乎已经对着决定达成共识，目前的主要消息是美联储将在决议中削减QE规则的决定。市场多数预计协议后会宣布削减QE规模，所以令金价近日回调至1300附近，早盘更曾下试1291.54美元/盎司，所以未来黄金走势将取决于美联储是否缩减QE规模以及缩减规模幅度，本周四是联储局公布议息的时间，预测减少买债力度100~50亿，维持低息一段长时间，但此消息若符合预期，金价则因短线超卖发生技术性反弹，有机会收高于1310以上，故本周四公布议息前黄金投资者还是以观望态度为主。
【技术分析】
由于金价近期的反弹迹象都受卖盘打压，阻力位越来越低，4小时图已经跌破近期整理低位，金价每次反弹都在20小时EMA均线受阻，支持位1276，阻力1320。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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