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今日国际黄金走势分析

关键字:今日黄金

【行情回顾】

金价昨日大部分时间在区间波动,最高1332美元,最低过市后曾见1304水平,市场对美国退市的预期影响了黄金的人气,金价昨日收报1309.3美元,下跌3.4美元,高地价为1332.9/1308.0,波幅24.9美元。昨日公布工业生产上升0.4%,较预期0.5%为低。联储局伯南克年底离任,前财长萨默斯原被视为大热继任人选,但他在任为克林顿政府财长和奥巴马政府经济顾问期间的强硬作风得罪了不少人,参议院不少议员包括民主党议员在内均宣言会投下反对票否决其提名议案,萨默斯最终昨天宣布退选,而现任联储局副主席叶伦已被视为无可置疑之继任人选,她在局内为鸽派人物,主张缓慢退市,市场因对退市步伐及力度存疑。

【基本面分析】

中东局势有转变迹象,因联合国的调查报告确认叙利亚有使用生化武器,要留意美国会否有下一步的行动。

国际现货金昨天跳空高开至是日高位1334,但其后有所回落,最低曾下探至1307,现报1310美元盎司。金价下滑原因主要是因美国议息会临近,而市场大多认为退市方案会如期实行,使投资者在1330的位置获利回套,或是持观望的状态,金价受压,回落至1307是日低位。另外因叙利亚事件方面美英法三国达成协议后得以和平处理,因此使黄金交易的避险买盘减少,使金价短期内得不到支撑。

【技术分析】

日线图中,金价跌破66日均线,短期均线系统呈空头排列,MACD绿色动能继续放量;周线看,黄金价格跌破上升通道下轨,KDJ指标向下,MACD红色动能继续减弱。目前金价处于弱势,本周或延续下跌趋势。仅供参考。 预估未来金价的走向会决定于今明两天美国议息会议中的退市方案,短期内下方的支持位会在1300,上方则看1333位置。

 


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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