QE效应下入金不宜抢短
关键字：QE、投资黄金
【行情回顾】
国际金价上周呈大幅下挫格局，一度回落每盎司1300美元大关，黄金创下接近一个月来的新低价格，单周大跌超过60美元，跌幅4.65%，周线连三黑。分析师认为，短线抢反弹风险仍高，应等美国联准会（FED）本周会议结束再选择进场布局。
【行情分析】
市场预期，Fed宣布缩减量化宽松规模（QE）购债规模的机率达8成，购债规模将由现行每月850亿美元，降到650至750亿美元，亦即缩减金额介于100至200亿美元之间。
分析师认为，虽然市场正逐步消化QE消息，但退场还是会对金价造成冲击；若QE规模金额小于100亿美元，预期金价可望在1300美元形成支撑，黄金季节性需求也会涌入，年底不排除挑战1500美元大关。一旦QE缩减金额大于200亿美元，金价回测1200美元关卡机率将大增，甚至恐跌破今年1800美元低点。
所以Fed公布利率政策前，金市明显显现胶着或观望，不确定性造成短、中期金价相当不稳定，如果短线投资此刻进场会比较不安全。
从长线来看，从今年第四季度到明年上半年是金价筑底期，短线若遇金价反弹，切忌追高，长线投资者则可以定期定额方式进场，每天买一些就能分摊成本。
推荐阅读：
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
最新内容
Risk Warning
Trading bullion and financial instruments carries significant risks and may not be suitable for all investors, requiring careful consideration of investment objectives, experience, and risk tolerance. Key risks include market volatility, leverage risks that can amplify gains or losses, liquidity issues that may prevent executing trades at desired prices, and technical failures in online trading systems. Prices fluctuate unpredictably, and past performance does not guarantee future results. CIDT Global Bullion Limited provides general market commentary but does not offer investment advice and is not liable for any losses incurred from reliance on its information, which may change without notice.
Jurisdiction Disclaimer
CIDT Global Bullion Limited's services are subject to local regulations and may not be available in all jurisdictions. Users are responsible for ensuring compliance with their local laws. Services are not provided in regions where they are prohibited by law, under international sanctions, or require licensing that the company does not hold. By using the platform, users confirm they are not in a restricted jurisdiction and accept full responsibility for legal compliance. The company reserves the right to decline or terminate services in restricted areas without prior notice.