今日国际黄金走势分析
关键字:今日黄金
【上周回顾】
上周五美元早盘时段略有反弹,但在纽约时段不及预期的经济数据公布后,美元开始全线承压。而在周末萨默斯宣布退选美联储主席一职后,美元周一全线跳空低开。非美普遍走强,英镑表现突出,英镑最高上探1.5950。
金价于上周五曾回调到1305美元,美市开启后都反弹到1323附近,最后收在1312美元,受到叙利亚缓和迹象和美国经济数据比较好的影响,上周都有明显沽价。现货金上周五一度下探至1304,但尾盘回升,最终收于1325美元。金价上落市于1320~1346波动。
【基本面】
黄金价格上周连跌5日,由1395跌至1305水平,市场今早略略回升,现时目光关注17~18日美联储FOMC会议,皆因市场对退市预期反应极大,认为美联储即将缩减QE,对缩减幅度却存在分歧,这将影响金价未来走势。
耶伦成为伯南克接班者的不二选择,美联储将更长时间内维持宽松货币立场猜测,这对黄金利好。
不过利好可能是一个比较短暂的事情,因为市场真正担心的是议息会议的结果,会否真的逐步退市。
【技术分析】
黄金从三线反转日图上看,已经走出5根阴线,下降趋势已经得到确认,通道已经打开,根据三线反转图的理论,认为后续还要走出5-6根阴线,后续操作看高空。从K线图上看,黄金日图上,BOLL通道开始收缩,价格在MA60获得支撑,上方压力看MA5所在1352,下方看BOLL下轨1309;短期均线MA5下穿MA10与MA20,形成死叉;指标KDJ在超卖区运行,指标示弱;MACD死叉运行在0轴上方,能量柱显示空头能量在不断增强,空头势力依然强势。
今日预测金价在1320-1350行走,适宜逢高做空。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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