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美元指数呈上涨趋势 黄金价格受压

关键字:黄金价格

【行情回顾】

昨日数据显示美国7月消费者信贷从138.2亿美元下调至104.4亿美元,预期为123.0亿美元。中国8月零售销售年率从13.2%上调至13.4%,预期为13.3%。加拿大8月新屋开工从19.2853万下调至18.0291万,预期为19.0万。

【货币分析】

美元:美元指数报点81.91, 涨幅0.10 %。道指收报15191.06,上涨127.94点,涨幅0.85%。纳指收报3729.02点,上涨22.84点,涨幅0.62 %。

欧元:欧元最高测试1.3280,最低下探1.3269,目前在1.3256左右调整。MACD 4小时图上行能量强大。

日元:日元最高测试100.59,最低下探99.46,目前在100.47左右活动。

【行情分析】

在整体上看,美国经济数据虽然参差不齐,但从长期看,仍属于良性复苏。综合来看,美元指数在美国强力经济复苏的状况下,并不具备中线走弱的基础,一旦开始上涨趋势,相对贵金属来说是一个潜在的风险,如果下周美联储会议后的观点更偏鸽派,比如极小规模缩减QE,甚至是将缩减QE的时间表延后,短期内黄金价格将出现上涨。

【技术分析】

黄金投资: 黄金最高试探1390.9价位, 最低向下测试1356.6,目前在1364左右调整。MACD 1小时图下行能量有所回落。1小时RSI图发出超卖信号。 1小时保历加通道向下开口, 价位走在中轨附近。如果向上有效突破1373阻力位,则有望上探1378。反之,如果成功跌破1360,则会向下试探1355。

支持位:1355,阻力位:1378。

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