国际黄金期货连升两周 投资者需注意短期反弹
目前，国际金价连升两周，这在过去大半年中是少有的，且涨幅之大颇令市场意外。对于隔夜金价大涨的原因，目前市场依然众说纷纭。
从基本面看，上周（截至7月19日），伯南克表示不会为收缩购债计划预设时间表，黄金受益呈现小步反弹的态势，且从美国公布的经济数据来看，零售销售、新屋开工等数据均差于预期，令美指维持弱势，从而金价上涨。
本周将出炉的多项美国经济数据可能将继续决定金价短线前景。
汇丰银行表示，本周稍晚将出炉的美国新屋销售数据及消费者信心数据或“有助于决定金价的短线走向”。 周一黄金延续反弹到了1339美元附近，价格一路上攻几乎没给空头机会，这其实并不要紧，市场前期下跌得比较快，留下较多需要修复的地方，现在面临一个短期反弹和中期下跌之间的压制，市场能否再次转为下跌，本周至关重要。
连续的上行行为触及到了下跌中期线内部区域，在前面的循环周期变化中，这是一个合理的回归，从周一价格直接冲上1300美元开始形成的力度变化看，目前阶段还只能看做是一个下降循环周期的衰退反弹阶段，此阶段存在两个发展模式，一个是重新转为下跌循环周期，另外一个就是震荡之后反转，投资者还是需多加注意。
不过如果我们能够仔细看周线变化的话，也许目前反转的概率不高，但在未来，黄金一定会到1400美元以上，甚至接近1500美元，这是市场语言告诉我们的，再来一次探底给我们一个战略性机会，就像这次出现的一个1200美元附近战略机会一样，你们要是敢于认真的理顺思路，就应该为下一次的机会做好准备，2013年不需要太多，只需要那么仅有一次，结果就不一样了。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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