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美元下跌和空头回补助金价大涨,较强阻力位于1350美元

现货黄金价格隔夜收涨近3%,最高触及1339.53美元/盎司,创下一个月新高,美国成屋销售数据疲软,同时交易商称有大量基金回补空头,均大幅提振金价。

全美地产经纪商协会(NAR)周一公布的数据显示,美国6月成屋销售下降,但当月销量仍显示住房市场状况强劲;与此同时,由于库存依然紧张,房价继续上涨。美国6月成屋销售总数年化508万户,为2009年11月以来的次高水平,但不及预期的525万户,前值修正为514万户, 初值518万户。偏弱的数据加剧了美元的跌势,数据后美元指数触及一个月新低82.00,而其他资产则全面上涨。

黑石集团(BlackRock)投资组合经理Catherine Raw周一(7月22日)表示:“尽管目前为止黄金投资者情绪依旧偏空,今年金价已累计 下跌22%,但亚洲–尤其是中国及印度的实物金需求正在不断走强。然而,随着美国经济持续复苏,市场对通胀忧虑的担忧放缓可能令美联储提早结束购债,最 终将导致美国利率上升,这对黄金而言不是个好消息。”

从技术上来看,金价隔夜反弹在5月以来的下行趋势线1340美元附近受阻,该位也是5月下旬低位所在,更上方阻力位于1350美元,该位是前期跳空缺口所在,令金价短期面临回调风险不过短期上行动能完好,仍有继续上攻的可能。


本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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