欧版宽松或至 金银反弹较弱
纽约商品交易所黄金期货市场9月黄金期价8月26日收于每盎司1281.4美元,比前一交易日上升了4.4美元,涨幅为0.37%。白银期货上涨0.05%,报每盎司19.32美元。
欧亚接壤国家继续增持黄金:国际货币基金组织于周二发布的数据显示,俄罗斯作为全球黄金储备最多的国家之一,其7月份增加黄金储备近34万盎司,达到3,550万盎司。与此同时,哈萨克斯坦央行的7月黄金储备,也达到了510万盎司,哈萨克斯坦央行也是活跃的黄金买家。俄罗斯增持黄金,主要为了抵消被欧盟及美国制裁带来的负面影响,而像哈萨克斯坦那样的发展中国家,则是对冲国内外汇储备带来的贬值风险。央行的购金行为,对国际金价构成了一定的利好支持。
欧央行宽松致美国更早结束宽松:道明证券认为,如果欧央行像更多投资者预计的那样,开始直接购买债券,则美国收紧货币政策的时间可能会提前。因为欧央行一旦实施宽松力度较强的量化货币政策,这可能会导致美联储更积极地结束美国的量化宽松,令美元进入量化紧缩时期。由于现时的欧央行仍然保持原有的低利率不变,如果欧元区实行量化宽松的货币政策,那么将使欧元走势疲弱,从而导致欧元的主要交易币种美元被动上涨,从而提振了短期的美国国债收益率,这一定程度刺激了市场风险情绪的增加,对国际金价构成下行压力。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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