联储不急加息 金银继续上涨
纽约商品交易所黄金期货市场11月黄金期价10月8日收于每盎司1208.7美元,比前一交易日上升了13.2美元,涨幅为1.09%。白银期货上涨1.11%,报每盎司17.37美元。
美联储续持低利率政策:美联储公布的9月会议纪要内容指出,官员们总体强调,加息并没有机械固定的日期,甚至有部分官员们认为,美元走强会拖累通胀,另外美元走强也会对美国的出口和产业化发展构成风险,而美国劳动力资源存在的严重闲置状况,已经引起官员们的重视。从美联储公布的9月会议纪要内容上看,部分官员担忧美元走强速度快于实际经济增长,将对美国经济产生负面影响,而劳动力的动能水平较低,因此市场预计,美联储将维持一段较长时间的低利率政策,为贵金属市场带来资金流入。
标普料俄国经济下行:著名国际评级机构标普认为,短期内欧美国家联手制裁俄罗斯,并不会对俄经济产生更显著的影响,俄罗斯内部从前就存在经济发展的瓶颈,而瓶颈危机将使俄罗斯在今年第四季度GDP出现明显萎缩,标普预计,俄罗斯2014年的总体GDP增长为0.3%,2015年为1.5%。俄罗斯自今年爆发与乌克兰之间的地缘政治问题以后,除了造成俄国货币卢布贬值,俄国经济更是雪上加霜,而机构下调俄国经济发展预期,料俄罗斯将继续增持黄金储备,从而最大力度避免经济萎缩构成的下行风险。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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