风险情绪未得提振 现货黄金尚存机会
关键字：本日现货黄金行情
7月8日欧洲时段，国际现货黄金价格呈现区间震荡格局，日间波幅不超6美元，纽盘时段前，受欧央行官员的鸽派发话影响，欧央行两位官员发话均表示将维持低利率的刺激性举措，同时英国制造业和工业生产较差，激发了欧元区的避险情绪，国际金价获得提振，纽盘中段后，受到美国经济向好打压，金价回吐纽盘早段提升的涨幅，短时下挫了约10美元，随后从低位弱势反弹，伦敦金行情日收1319.17美元/盎司，下滑了0.37美元。
欧央行官员诺亚表示，欧元区持续走低的通胀指标依旧是主要挑战，如果区域经济的通胀下行风险逐渐变为现实，欧央行准备行动，同时指出，低通胀、利率上升、资金流入以及欧元升值可能形成恶性的反馈回路。另一位官员林德认为，欧元区CPI依旧远离2%的目标，就通胀前景来看，利率将长期保持在低位，美联储的货币宽松政策被证明是完全正确的，从两位官员的发话来看，欧央行的量化宽松规模实施将摆上日程，短期内企图下压欧元的上行力度，对美元构成支持，金价或继续面临回调的尴尬局面。
关注美元兑一篮子货币的表现，由于美国长期公债收益率保持连续两天的下行格局，反映市场的风险偏好情绪并没有随美元走强的前景而获得提振，在本日的美联储6月FOMC会议纪要发布前，保持谨慎的入市态度，由于日本经济在量化宽松的货币政策下影响下正在取得预期中的效果，美元对日圆已经回吐上周四美国公布6月非农就业报告后录得的升幅，而欧元现阶段的暂得的上行走势将继续使美元被动下行，黄金仍旧获得一定的反弹力度。
从伦敦金技术分析上看，国际金价K线在日线图上，开出阳线十字星，这是金价自上月底以来开出的第七根十字星，反映多空双方分歧相当的大，短期来看，金价继续在5日均线附近寻找上攻机会，附图指标MACD快慢线接近粘合位置，而周线图的看涨格局仍没有被破坏，大田贵金属建议本日投资者可于低位做多或阻力位所在高位筑空，本日关键支撑位1315,1310，关键阻力位1325,1331。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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