后市上涨乏力 黄金走势转弱
截止至本日北京时间15:00，国际现货黄金价格为1315.99美元/盎司，最高价为1318.38美元，最低价为1313.79美元，下滑了0.4美元，跌幅为0.03%。
黄金后市料上涨无力：据彭博社对黄金分析师的调研显示，在本月的美联储利率决议前，对15名分析师的调研中值发现，分析师们预期，今年第四季度黄金均价为每盎司1240美元，在决议结束后再次调研的结果显示，分析师对今年第四季度和明年第一季度预测值，分别是1225和1270美元。分析师认为，黄金出现的上涨只是短暂性重大事件爆发的结果，例如耶伦的量化宽松措辞和伊拉克内部动荡事件，目前的黄金持仓量仍旧处于历史低位，这暗示投资者将放弃黄金，投资其他资产。
美元和利率上涨共同打压黄金：世界著名投行法国兴业银行近日发表最新报告显示，上涨的美元和利率将给黄金投资带来相当大的阻力，法兴银行认为，美联储的削减购债措施会一直持续到今年年底，预计美国量化紧缩政策会在2015年第三季度出现，将提升实际利率，与此同时，西方投资者们会继续向外流出其黄金ETF的持仓。从长期来看，美联储若坚持现时每月削减100亿美元的资产购买计划，美元在市场上的流动性将逐渐减少，以美元计价的黄金则出现下跌，同时实际利率的提升则无形中加大了黄金的持有成本，导致黄金的投资吸引力下降。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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