就业数据不及预期 现货黄金再度暴涨
关键字：现货黄金走势
【行情回顾】
昨日国际现货黄金价格在经历过早盘的震荡之后，由于晚间纽约时段公布的初请失业金数据不及市场预期，加上伊拉克再度出现暴乱，刺激了市场的避险情绪，现货黄金价格在短暂回调之后，再度出现暴涨，接连冲破1267和1270两大阻力位置，走势开始对多头有利。
【基本面分析】
美国劳工部周四公布的数据显示，美国6月7日当周季调后初请失业金人数增加0.4万人至31.7万人，预期30.9万人，前值修正为31.3万人，初值31.2万人，笔者认为此次数据较预期增长，但连续五周持续申请失业救济的人数有所下降，表明一些长期失业者陆续找到工作，此消彼长下，本次初请数据不足以改变劳动市场复苏的趋势，黄金价格和白银价格受此影响，晚间在突破前期重要阻力后大幅度上涨，显示出市场看涨后市的决心。
而另一方面，美国商务部周四公布的数据显示，美国5月零售销售月率增长0.3%，预期增长0.6%，前值修正为增长0.5%。美国5月零售销售增长不及市场预期，且增幅连续两个月放缓，暗示严冬天气影响过后消费者支出显现疲弱。今年一季度美国经济因天气影响而表现疲软，4月份的零售销售数据可能会削弱二季度反弹的希望。消费者支出占美国经济产出的逾三分之二。由于最新公布的美国两大经济数据均差于市场预期，使市场的风险偏好有所下降，对于黄金构成利好。
【技术分析】
由黄金日K线图上看，黄金在近期的小幅震荡上扬之后，昨天长阳拔地而起，直接突破压制黄金上涨的两个关键阻力位置1267和1270，而该位置是均线压力和布林线中轨的共振区域，短期内压力较强，而国际现货黄金昨日以长阳姿态突破该阻力位置，显示出多头做多的决心，而且在突破该压力位置后，上行压力的主要区域则集中于1285上方，因此短期内黄金仍有上升空间
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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