经济增长下调 黄金低位蓄势
纽约商品交易所黄金期货市场7月黄金期价6月11日收于每盎司1260.7美元，比前一交易日上涨0.7美元，涨幅为0.06%。白银期货与前一日持平，报每盎司19.18美元。
世界银行下调今年经济增长预期：世界银行近日表示，由于美国恶劣的冬季天气以及乌俄两国地缘政治冲突，拖累了全球经济的增长，决定将2014年全球经济增长预期由3.2%下调至2.8%，其对发达经济体的发展表示乐观，称美国与欧洲经济增长较快，但是发展中国家经济前景不甚乐观，发展中国家需要采取更有效地措施进行经济结构改革以提升经济增长水平。由于全球经济增长还尚存在较多的不确定因素，尤其是新兴发展中国家经济改革尚未完善，黄金作为极佳的国家资产储备，将为新兴经济体发展定下稳定基础。
实物需求将支撑未来5年金价：世界黄金协会认为，未来金价将更依赖实物消费而不是投资，金价有望在未来五年内创新高。另外，中国仍然是全球最大黄金消费国，同为黄金消费大国的印度，一旦其进口关税下调，印度的黄金需求就将出现反弹，这将会发生在今年9月或10月，数据显示，今年一季度全球金饰需求达到571吨，为2005年以来同期最高。亚洲实物黄金需求一直是国际金价的下方支撑，未来若实物黄金需求的消费力得到进一步提高，对国际金价将是一大利好。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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