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看空情绪强烈 现货黄金维持弱势

关键字:现货黄金行情

【行情回顾】

周三亚洲时段,国际现货黄金早盘延续昨日反弹走势,出现了一波小幅上涨,但是上涨力度仍然不强,未能成功攻克1250关口,由于本周剩下的数个交易日内都有重要数据出炉,市场上正静待数据指引,因此在数据出炉之前,日内黄金主要维持震荡。

【基本面分析】

由于近期黄金出现了罕见的持续下跌,市场上看空后市的声音不绝于耳,除了国际黄金期货空头仓单剧增之外,市面上的只能做多不能做空的黄金理财产品基本销声匿迹,便是其中一例。有消息指出,近段时间银行已经不再卖黄金理财产品了。早在去年8月份,在几家理财产品网站上曾出现过超过100款挂钩黄金的结构性理财产品,但今年春节过后,就不再有黄金理财产品销售,大部分转为外汇理财产品。业内人士表示,黄金价格一直震荡,黄金理财产品的收益非常不理想,导致大多数的黄金理财产品都销声匿迹。

而另一方面,国际市场上看空黄金的投资者却日益增多,由近期CFTC的黄金持仓量则可以明显看出,期金多头头寸被大幅削减,净多头头寸降至1月以来的最低水平。整个五月,投资者们都在削减对黄金的看涨押注。而在5月27日当周,金价恰在当天经历大跌,跌破持续数周的三角震荡区间,自此之后黄金的空头头寸日益增多,截止近日为止,黄金空头头寸已经接近接近半年以来的高位。

【技术分析】

根据伦敦金技术分析所得,由黄金日K线图上看,在黄金连续下跌之后,技术指标上已经有较为明显的超卖迹象,KDJ三线位于50分界线以下,而MACD绿柱也出现了小幅缩小的迹象。但是,由近日黄金走势上看,黄金的反弹力度过弱,在反弹高度上仍未能修复1250这一关键位置,说明短期内黄金仍处于弱势阶段。

【操作建议】

做多:开仓1241 止盈1248 止损1234

做空:开仓1249 止盈1232 止损1255

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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属

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