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大摩强烈看空明年金价

关键字:摩根士丹利

尽管黄金价格已从3月中旬的1380多美元/盎司下跌到目前的1300美元左右,但美国投行摩根斯坦利仍强烈看空明年金价。

数据显示,中国大陆今年三月黄金进口80.6吨,而二月进口为111.4吨,环比下降27%,与去年三月进口130吨相比,同比急剧减少38%。

由此,摩根斯坦利日前预计黄金价格在今年二季度的平均价格将会在1250美元,下半年将会跌至1168美元,2015年平均价格将会在1138美元。

该行分析师表示,人民币对美元的下跌应该对此负责,中国作为世界最大的黄金进口国,其需求不会让黄金价格在明年冲上1200美元。

摩根斯坦利认为,地缘政治的紧张关系以及对美国和中国经济的担忧,并不会让黄金作为避险资产而受到人们热捧。黄金期货交易所及ETF投资者对黄金的兴趣也不是很大,因此黄金价格今明两年不会十分抢眼。

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