金价失动能 窄幅震荡
截止至北京时间2014年3月18日15:00，伦敦金报价1361.7美元/盎司，高价为1367.8美元，低价为1357.6美元，波幅为10.2美元。
美银美林：金价上涨时期将结束；金价在上涨经历了3%的大幅上涨，但周一一度突破1390美元/盎司后，金价有了显著回落。美银美林金属策略师认为逆风很快会终结这股涨势。分析师说道：“市场中的一些因素让我们相信这不是能持久的上涨。”乌克兰的局势被认为是金价近期上涨的最大推动因素，此外还有对中国经济增长的担忧等。分析师则认为，尽管近期黄金的走势非常好，但欧元区的通缩担忧将影响金价上涨。欧元区疲软的消费价格意味着欧央行不太可能很快提高利率，黄金从传统上一直和利率有逆相关关系，并且被用来作为对冲通胀的物品。欧元区显示出很小的通胀迹象以及很小的紧缩货币政策的预期，分析师认为对金价将不会有什么推动作用。
RBCCM：中国实金需求将取代黄金ETF对金价影响 ；3月17日报导，加拿大皇家银行资本市场报告表示，中国大陆强劲的实物黄金需求，将会取代过去几年来影响金价的黄金ETF（交易所交易基金）投资需求，成为未来几年推升金价的主要动力。RBCCM认为，这或有可能激发金价走出新一轮类似2005-2008年期间的涨势。报告指出，由世界黄金协会所支持的全球首支黄金ETF–SPDR黄金信托基金在2004年推出之后，迅速成为全球最大黄金ETF并吸引大量投资，是当时推升金价的一大因素；而去年SPDR黄金ETF持仓大减，也成为打压金价的一大来源。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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