金价走强 波幅拉大
截止至北京时间2014年2月28日15:00,伦敦金报价1338.5美元/盎司,高价为1353.25美元,低价为1336.88美元,波幅为16.37美元。
HSBC:未来5年金价为1350美元/盎司:汇丰银行(HSBC)分析师James Steel周一(3月3日)报告称,实物需求–尤其是来自新兴市场的需求将会推高金价,预计未来5年黄金均价为每盎司1,350美元,波动性将降低。Steel认为大陆的需求占据约全球一半的黄金产量,其对金饰、金币和金条的需求会决定2014年金价的走向,而印度对黄金进口限制的放松也会支撑金价。汇丰银行维持其2014年平均金价预估不变为1,292美元/盎司,长期的金价预期也未改变,预计2015年金价1,310美元/盎司,2016年金价1,345美元/盎司,五年平均金价1,350美元/盎司。此外,该行也预计黄金供应增长将会有所减少,旧金供应会有增加,央行需求会比较稳定。
巴克莱:注意美元走强:巴克莱(Barclays)在其周一的黄金分析报告则中称,强势的美元可能会对乌克兰危机下金价的涨势有所施压。“在没有新的催化剂的情况下,强势的美元很可能会胜过引乌克兰局势而带来的黄金的避险保值功能需求,”巴克莱的报告称,“近期的金价比较脆弱。”金价自今年以来已上涨超过10%,高盛周一的报告称黄金是今年至今表现最好的资产类别,无论是从总量还是风险调整后的回报看。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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