黄金走势疲弱 难持续上涨
伦敦金早上开盘价为1336.5美元/盎司，截止至北京时间2014年2月25日11:00，伦敦金报价1332.9美元/盎司，高价为1338.47美元，低价为1332.34美元，波幅为6.13美元。
巴克莱：金价继续上行才能吸引新买盘；自今年2月份以来，现货黄金上涨了约4.5%，一度触及四个月高点1336.70美元/盎司。黄金ETF基金持有量2013年大量流出，金价下跌了28%。但2月份以来，黄金ETF持有量开始持稳于1739吨。巴克莱银行(Barclays)周一(2月24日)在报告中指出，2014年2月至今全球黄金ETF持仓几乎处于企稳的状态，仅下滑0.50公吨。同时，根据对黄金ETP持仓流动的追踪，2月很可能会成为自2012年12月来外流规模最小的一个月。不过巴克莱表示，“尽管目前的迹象显示之前黄金ETF过度的外流趋势已有所放缓，但若想更多地改变广泛投资者的投资偏好，则金价必须有更大幅度的上涨。”黄金ETP的交易形式类似股票，但需追踪大宗商品的价格走势。
摩根士丹利：金价涨势难以维持；摩根士丹利(Morgan Stanley)在报告中指出，尽管近期金价涨势明显，但不排除未来某个阶段可能陷入“窘境”。该行认为短期内金价的涨势难以维持，中期可能面临下滑，但长期存在一定的上行风险。该投行强调，“近几周金价的上扬可能只是短期的，我们不认为金价能在当前水平企稳。随着美联储维持当前的货币政策风向(继续缩减QE)，美元、美债以及美国实际利率也将逐步走高，对金价造成更大的下行压力。”
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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