钯金价格将成为表现最好的贵金属
关键字：贵金属钯金
《MetalMiner》2月24日报导，钯金价格未来几年的表现，或将是贵金属当中较为突出的。南非标准银行（Standard Bank）以及汇丰银行（HSBC）均预期2014-17年期间钯金价格可望走高，主要因为供应吃紧以及汽车销售增长，将令钯金市场进一步陷入供给短缺。作为钯金市场的重要供应来源之一，俄罗斯钯金库存销售自2007年达到高峰之后已逐渐下滑，其占全球钯金供应的比重也从17%下滑至2%。汇丰银行预估今年的钯金净需求将年减5.9%至717万盎司，主要因为投资需求疲弱的影响，但汽车市场的需求则可望年增7.3%达到769万盎司。汇丰银行认为2013-17年期间钯金市场的供给短缺将逐渐扩大，平均将达到整体需求量的15%。该行预计今年钯金平均价格将为每盎司825美元，2015年均价则将上涨至900美元。标准银行也认同钯金价格上涨的潜力要多过下跌，并预估短期钯金价格将上涨至每盎司750美元。纽约商业交易所（NYMEX）3月钯金期货21日收盘上涨0.5%成为每盎司740美元。
巴克莱（Barclays）2月12日报告指出，虽然金价今年以来上涨，但黄金要维持涨势仍有相当难度，该行仍较为建议钯金，称钯金价格若跌至每盎司700美元将属于可以进场的价位，因该行对今年钯金均价的预估为768美元。摩根士丹利（Morgan Stanley）周一（2月24日）发布报告称，黄金的上行势头可能只是短暂的，黄金价格恐怕不能维持在高位附近。该行称，尽管美联储继续维持缩减宽松的立场不变，但黄金将不得不面临实际利率上升、债券殖利率走高和美元走强的负面影响。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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