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金价续涨 刷新日内高点

截止至北京时间2014年2月10日15:00,伦敦金报价1272.5美元/盎司,高价为1275.64美元,低价为1265.09美元,波幅为10.55美元。在上周五美国非农数据之后,金价最初因数据不佳迅速上扬,不过很快又回吐了涨幅,随后再度转为上扬,周一亚洲时段金价仍延续涨势,现再度刷新日内高点。

中国春节假期结束 实金需求或可支撑金价:随着春节假期结束,一些分析师预计中国买家重新回到市场所带来的需求将推动金价上涨。 “中国市场的重开对黄金市场来说,就是价格支撑的回归。”汇丰银行(HSBC)的商品分析师们说,“2013年金价大跌中,新兴市场需求的增加,尤其是来自中国的需求,是为金价托底的重要因素。”澳新银行(ANZ)商品策略师Victor Thianpiriya认为随着中国假期结束,本周的市场会非常有趣。他认为正是中国市场的因素将金价推至接近1270美元/盎司的阻力点。不过他认为目前还没有足够动量使金价突破这个水平。

德意志银行:金市溢价 暗示实金需求走强:2月7日,德意志银行(Deutsche Bank)指出,近期黄金远期利率(GOFO)已降至负值,同时期金市场再度出现现货溢价的现象,暗示最近实物金需求仍在走强,投资者希望获得实物交割。一般情况,因资金成本和仓储成本,现货合约的价格会略低于其他远期合约。而2月合约对4月和6月的温和升水,这种负向市场或许暗示—现阶段市场情绪正朝实物偏好转变。该行表示:“结合GOFO跌至负值区以及黄金远期曲线进入现货溢价状态来看,近期的实物金需求可能非常强势。出现这一现象的原因主要是近期新兴市场风险走弱以及美国实体经济数据疲软的影响。”


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