2.5国际现货黄金价格走势分析（2014)
关键字：2.5国际现货黄金价格走势分析（2014)
【行情回顾】
国际现货黄金昨收1254.3美元每盎司，日跌2.8美元，昨日跌至1247.2后有所反弹，日内小幅走低，因美股趋稳及美元走强，促使投资人出脱部分黄金避险押注。
标普500指数 升近1%，因企业业绩稳健，股市在昨日遭遇一个月最大跌幅后试图重新站稳脚跟。
【基本面分析】
本周风险事件在即，在周五非农报告出炉之前，黄金很可能将维持目前窄幅震荡的态势，寻求最合理的事件预期价格。 美国1月非农业就业报告将在周五晚21：30出炉，这一数据往往是每个月对市场影响最为显着的基本面风险事件。继12月非农业就业人数变化呈现大幅不及预期的7.4万以后，本次非农业就业人数变化目前预期为17.5万，而失业率则预期将企稳于6.7%。通常情况下，一次向好的非农报告将提振美元而打压黄金，特别是在美联储退出QE的节骨眼上，美国基本面的变化很可能将催生更大的市场波澜。 如果美国1月份的就业市场延续12月份门可罗雀的景象，美联储很可能将不得不开始考虑使用QE以外的方法为市场注入流动性以帮助实体经济平稳过渡。不过如果说美国12月就业市场的惨淡是由于寒冷天气及即将到来的圣诞节，那么这样的原因在1月份就不大可能继续打压就业市场，并且很可能在2、3月份令就业人数变化出现大幅的反弹。由此观之黄金将有可能在未来几次非农报告出炉时遭受打压。
【技术分析】
如本周内现货黄金价格仍无法突破节前高位1279.1美元，开年以来的上升趋势或转为整固。下方如突破1237.9的前期低位，金价的上升趋势或最终破败。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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