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黄金白银下跌 美元上升

纽约商品期货交易所(COMEX)2月黄金期货1月15日收盘下跌0.6%,收报每盎司1,238.3美元,美元指数上涨0.5%,3月白银期货下跌0.7%,收报每盎司20.134美元。

全球最大黄金ETF减持 白银持平:全球最大黄金ETF(交易所交易基金)–SPDR黄金信托基金(GLD.US)24日黄金持有量减少3.56公吨成为789.56公吨。最大的白银ETF–安硕白银指数基金(SLV.US),白银持有量持平为9,894.53公吨。

美国经济指数好于预期:美国12月生产者物价指数月率0.4%,PPI年率从0.7%回升至1.2%,核心CPI年率回升至1.4%,均高于市场预期。通常情况下PPI是CPI的先行指标,意外改善的批发物价数据提高了CPI显着回升的可能性,若通货膨胀摆脱低迷状态,美联储削减定量宽松再无后顾之忧。周四美国将公布12月消费者物价指数,经济学家普遍预测CPI年率从1.2%改善至1.5%,符合或好于预期的数据可能利好美元短期上涨。

德意志银行:金价将逐年下降:德意志银行(Deutsche Bank)1月14日下修2014年金价预估14.7%至每盎司1,141.0美元,2015年预估下调17.0%至每盎司1,100美元。该行预期金价将会持续向下修正,反映美国联邦储备理事会(联储局/FED)缩减刺激措施、美元升值、美国实质利率上扬以及美国股市风险溢价进一步下滑。


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