美元受提振 黄金震荡下跌
截止至北京时间2014年1月15日15:00，伦敦金报价1241.55美元/盎司，高价为1253.56美元，低价为1238.5美元，波幅为15.06美元。在市场恐慌逐渐散去，风险资产投资者信心再起之时，黄金不得不有所承压。美联储退出QE的市场影响将逐步发散，而在美元受到提振之际，黄金亦将进一步经历下跌。
加特曼：建议做多黄金 做空石油：主笔投资通讯Gartman Letter的经济学家加特曼(Dennis Gartman)建议做多黄金，做空石油：“我们建议以原油计价来看待黄金价格，以各50%的仓位做多黄金，做空石油。考虑到布伦特原油和WTI原油之间存在价差，应该进一步将石油的空仓一分为二。”
Fed官员支持结束QE 美元走强：显然，今日亚市美元全面走强主导了汇市。如市场年初所普遍预期的美元强势气氛渐浓，尤其是昨日美联储两位鹰派官员均支持结束QE，增强投资者对美元看涨的信心。费城联储主席普罗索周二表示，美国经济增长速度较过去数年更加稳健，美联储倾向于2014年底结束购债。达拉斯联储主席费舍尔也称，美联储越快结束其购债规模越好，即使是缩减购债的代价是股市大幅震荡。因为随着美联储购债规模的增加，将会令通胀风险上行并且令美联储退出QE的难度更大。未来还有多位官员发表讲话，若越来越多的官员支持削减QE，那么在美国经济显现更多强势指标的背景下，美元将逐步走强，而利差和基本面背离将使得非美货币仍表现疲软。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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