金价上行 预期再度反弹
截止至北京时间2014年1月10日15:00，伦敦金报价1235美元/盎司，高价为1237美元，低价为1226.6美元，波幅为10.4美元。总的来说当前金价走势是技术上倾向于再度反弹，只是考虑到非农数据后可能的震荡走势，需要控制好仓位来应对风险。
托马斯路透：预期2014年金价看跌；托马斯路透(Thomson Reuters GFMS)黄金价格贵金属需求经理Andrew Leyland预计2014年金价看跌，实物黄金的需求会抵消机构和对冲基金撤出的投资，将平均金价从2013年的1411美元/盎司降到1225美元/盎司。“把2013年当作美联储缩减QE对金价产生影响的一年，那么能看到的是机构投资者和对冲基金有很大动作，我们认为这直到2016年都不会改变。”此外，Leyland还认为这意味着黄金需要实物需求来推动金价，“而我们所看到的则是，那些需求并没有到那个水平，没法支撑大的金价上涨。”
美林美银：2014年黄金均价下跌11%；知名投行美银美林(BofAML)周四(1月9日)宣布将2014年黄金均价预估自1294美元/盎司下调11%，至1150美元/盎司，并警告未来金价将有更加糟糕的表现。美银美林首席策略师Michael Widmer对此的解释是，最近几年黄金白银价格的走势绝大部分都取决于投资者兴趣，而当前最大的担忧就是黄金缺少投资动能。即使2014年开年金价向上大幅反弹超过2%，但这仍无法为后市的上扬提供有力依据。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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