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德国商业:黄金现货价格整体偏向看跌

关键字:黄金现货价格

1月7日,德国商业银行(COMMERZBNAK)在周度报告中指出,2013年国际金价曾录得30年来最大的年度跌幅,而与之相反的是今年首两个交易日金价一度跳涨超过2%,这就显示出金价出现一定分歧。报告认为,当前1180.04支撑以及1277.73阻力区域是决定金价走势的关键价位,但整体仍偏向看跌。

该行表示,“眼下我们正关注的是12月金价再次下探1180一线是否只意味着临时的低点,还是暗示未来可能出现一段较小的反弹趋势。从日图上来看,我们认为1184.23/1180.4美元区域将是2014年上半年的主要支撑位,金价料在该区域上方持续波动。不过,投资者也必须防范后市强劲反弹的可能性。”

该行指出,“一旦未来某个时间金价收于12月高点1268.28一线及2013-14下行趋势线阻力1277.73水平以上,则有望反弹至1350美元区域。因此,我们对短期(一周)以及中期(一个月)的观点均为看平。如果后市金价突破1180及1277美元这两个关键价位,则中期技术面观点将相应改变。”该行补充道,“从周图来看,金价依旧位于长期趋势线阻力1277.13一线下方,而短期走向的关键依旧在1180.04水平。”

 

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