普罗索发言 黄金继续空头
截止至北京时间2013年11月19日15:00,伦敦金报价1272.8美元/盎司,高价为1275.55美元,低价为1270.4美元,波幅为5.15美元。
CITI:2014年黄金均价1255美元 钯金表现将最佳花旗研调(Citi Research)最新报告预估2014年平均金价将下跌至每盎司1,255美元,主要因为美国联储局的量化宽松政策将开始减码的影响,但来自中国大陆的强劲需求预计会对金价构成支撑。花旗也预期明年度钯金将会是表现最佳的贵金属。花旗报告指出,今年黄金资产遭到西方投资人重新配置主要是因为低通膨的预期,以及其他资产的吸引力增加。报告表示,今年以来金价下跌24%,反观标普五百指数则是上涨了24%。花旗认为美国联储局最可能宣布量化宽松缩减的时机是在明年三月,并认为量宽缩减对金价的影响应属于短期。
美联储杜德利与普罗索讲话:在感恩节前,美联储10月会议纪要当属最大的风险事件,市场将从该纪要中寻找12月削减的蛛丝马迹。今晨,明年将获得美联储投票权的杜德利,以及现任委员普罗索分别发表了讲话,二人就削减一事意见不一:杜德利认为目前继续购债仍是利大于弊的,而普罗索却不敢苟同,他认为现在开始削减QE的时机已经成熟。二人发言后美元指数仅出现小幅震荡。从目前的走势上看,美元指数已走出了更低的高点,美联储会议纪要发布在即,如市场看到美联储继续将削减QE后延的可能较大的话,美元将延续其下行趋势,但仍不足以支撑金价上升。
本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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