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贵金属交易:黄金价格走势将持续下挫

关键字:贵金属交易、黄金价格走势

【基本面】

市场早间预计美联储副主席Dudley可能在公开讲话中重申耶伦此前措辞,QE缩减因此短期无望。美元承压在昨日亚盘时段持续走软。然而尽管Dudley对QE缩减含糊其辞,但是他对美国经济复苏势头的信心却助力美元在美盘时段反攻攀升。另外一位美联储官员 Plosser则表示了其对即刻缩减QE的坚定立场,来自官方不多见的明确态度也促使美元进一步收复失地。此外,美国10月通胀年率将在11月20日发布,投资者有望获得更多信息以猜测缩减量化宽松的日程安排。

【技术分析】

黄金现货在刚刚抹平此前一周损失之后大幅下跌。看空黄金的投资者们逐渐增加而对冲基金同时也增持空头头寸。目前多达54143手的空头头寸是8月份以来的最大值,而一周以前这个数字仅仅为26490。相反的,多头头寸则骤降37%至55456手。

日线图上,价格走势即将触及三角区间下轨,但是此前收窄盘整形状仍然保持良好。多日均线继续呈现此前空头排列,投资者们因此需提防黄金持续下挫的可能。

15分钟图上,价格走势在跌至1271之前持续在1284附近震荡,因此该位可看做日内阻力线,而支撑位则考虑1261.2附近。预计今日会在1282-1262窄幅横行。

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