今日国际黄金走势分析
关键字:今日黄金
【基本面】
周二国际黄金价格下跌0.6%,创下两个月的最大跌幅,因叙利亚局势得到缓和,俄罗斯外长呼吁叙利亚上交所有化学武器并销毁,而叙利亚政府也接受这一建议。在俄罗斯建议叙利亚交出化学武器换得美国停止动武后,奥巴马在接受美国六大电视网采访时说,如果叙利亚愿意将化学武器移交国际社会监督,他愿意暂停对叙利亚军事打击的计划。但奥巴马对阿萨德是否真愿意交出所有化学武器深表怀疑,不排除仅仅是为了摆脱美国施加的压力而使出缓兵之计。在奥巴马结束演讲后,国际黄金价格应声大跌10美元。叙利亚得到解脱,美国暂时停止施加压力,但若叙利亚仅仅是“应付”美国,并非真诚地、诚恳地交出所有化学武器,恐怕局势缓和也只是暂时性。
除叙利亚局势以外,美联储将于下周二、三举行政策会议,这一焦点无疑会收到市场各方的密切关注。传言美联储将于最早期缩减850亿的购债计划,但上周五公布的美国非农就业数据让市场大失所望,或许让经济与货币政策前景再度变得复杂化,也将影响美联储的缩减购债计划。缩减购债势在必行,但其缩减金额还需斟酌。若美联储实行缩减购债计划,金价将大幅下跌至最低点。
【技术分析】
昨日黄金交易金价开盘于1386一线,小幅上冲至1391一线受阻回落,最低跌至1357一线,最后收盘于1363一线,报收一根大阴线,日线图上看,上周五金价受到消息面影响,从整体来看,金价目前大趋势依旧处于上行通道之中,但是短线处于下行通道中,昨日金价一整天的缓慢下跌最终在上行趋势线下线得到支撑,日内下方继续关注1357一线支撑,上方则需要关注5日均线压制,重点关注1348一线支撑,一旦形成破位下方还有一定的空间,4小时图上,昨日金价持续下跌,最终在1357一线得到支撑,从K线的实体看,空头能量逐渐增加,目前布林带逐渐趋平,均线系统呈现空头排列,均线与价格乖离过大,需要进行修复,日内操作上继续高空为主,上方关注1373,1378,下方关注1357,1348。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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