黄金市场缺乏指导 投资者应谨慎
关键字:黄金市场
【行情回顾】
昨日黄金下跌4.47美元/盎司,跌幅为0.32%,报收于1386.93美元/盎司。由于受到非农数据疲弱的影响,美元指数延续下行态势,金价先抑后扬,但因美国方面对于叙利亚的态度有所转变,叙利亚局势也有趋向缓和的迹象,黄金最终收跌。
【基本面】
昨日全球最大黄金ETF减持2.1吨,至917.13吨或29486502.23盎司。减持力度不是很大,近阶段还是以震荡走势为主。
发布的香港普查数据显示进口到中国大陆的实物黄金数量仍在上升,鉴于金价仍处低水平中,这一数据并不意外。
7月份上海市场上的黄金溢价大大超过伦敦金现货。8月上海市场的黄金溢价则有所下落,而金价却持续上升。
分析师称:”预计这会减缓进口到香港也就是最终到达中国大陆的黄金量。正在减少的需求对金价支撑不利。”
他们还认为香港的黄金进口比出口更多:”我们猜测进口香港的黄金中,有一部分将被存储在2012年9月开张的金库中。
【技术分析】
从走势上来看,黄金昨日收盘勉强收在20日均线之上,今日将考验1380的支撑,而上方10日线1400也有很大的压力。
整体来看,鉴于叙利亚局势的不确定性,加上近期也没有宏观经济数据的发布,因此还是建议长线投资者不应盲目入市,短线参与为主。
【未来焦点】
美联储议息方面
美国是否攻打叙利亚
美国国债上限
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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