黄金短期支持力强 但长期走势仍看美联储去留
关键字:黄金走势
美国最新经济数据相对疲软,叙利亚政局紧张,中国、印度黄金消费旺季即将来临等多重因素,对金价走强形成利好支撑。目前,黄金站上1400美元/盎司,录得1426.26美元/盎司,上涨0.59%。
在各种影响金价走势的因素面前,美联储缩减量化宽松无疑为最重要、影响时间最长的因素。
支持黄金本轮上涨的因素较多:
1.黄金前期跌幅过大,存在补涨要求。
2.埃及、叙利亚政局紧张。
3.美联储始终在缩减量化宽松政策上出言谨慎。
4.美国近期经济数据存在不稳定迹象,令美联储不敢轻言缩减量化宽松。
5. 9、10月份一向是黄金的旺销季,中国、印度黄金需求旺。
但反观一旦QE退出,势必推涨美元,压制金价。中国、印度的实物黄金需求,尽管今年各自有望超过1000吨,但相比黄金期货市场规模还是太小,不是决定金价走势的关键因素。
建议投资者保持观望,需谨慎看待短期市场走势,不宜盲目追高。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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