黄金走势将受未来多因素影响
关键字:黄金走势
黄金和铂金供应有可能进一步减少。目前南非正在进行劳工谈判,30日的谈判期限(从7月23日开始)即将届满,矿工罢工问题或会影响黄金供应。在采矿公司和劳工双方达成协议前,可能会出现暴力冲突。南非是全球的黄金最大产出国。
而9月美联储动向依然是市场的焦点所在,皆因缩减量化宽松或减少买债计划的时间表依然悬而未决。若美联储没有在9月底FOMC会议中决定缩减买债计划,则有利于支持黄金上升。
有消息称奥巴马意在决定委任萨默斯担任美联储主席,预期新主席上任将会有个磨合期,是否能够协调组织美联储仍需观察。
建议投资者静静观察这些因素对黄金的影响,若任一种因素激化,均会影响黄金的走势。
从黄金的长期走势图来看,黄金在8月底走势均向好,今年会不会延续这个“惯性”还有待观察。
周一黄金突破1400美元/盎司,从6月底的低点开始,日线图上便形成了上升趋势线,代表黄金正在上行。黄金的稳固支撑位在1,315美元,然后便是8月7日的低位1,271.8美元。若金价跌穿1,271.8美元的支持位,便会破坏目前的上升趋势,黄金熊市在中期内将会重掌大局。
日线图上的底部形态显示黄金将会在本周测试5月初的1,490.5美元高点,只要黄金的上升趋势未受破坏,1,490.5美元都将是黄金的看涨目标。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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