黄金交易东移 印度创2009年需求量新高
关键字:黄金交易
彭博社23日报导,印度金匠和珠宝商协会秘书长Iskandar Husin在受访时指出,今年印度黄金首饰(项链、手炼、戒指)需求量可望成长30%至40公吨、创2009年以来新高。今年上半年印度尼西亚整体黄金需求量年增11%至33.4公吨;第2季年增55%至16.4公吨。相较之下,印度、中国大陆上半年购买数量分别年增48%、45%至567.5公吨、571.2公吨。世界黄金协会(WGC)统计显示,拜中国大陆、印度分别成长54%、51%之赐,第2季全球黄金首饰需求量年增37%至575.5公吨、创2008年第3季以来新高。
瑞银(UBS)证券8月15日指出,从纽约商品交易所(COMEX)库存缩减的情况来看,黄金交易重心正从西方转向东方。过去两年(2011、2012年)印度尼西亚GDP分别成长6.49%、6.23%。2004年10月20日就任成为首位印度尼西亚直选总统的Susilo Bambang Yudhoyono(简称:SBY)16日表示,2014年底印度尼西亚的人均GDP可望自2012年的3,592美元升至5,000美元。
身为二十国集团(G20)成员之一的印度尼西亚在2000-2010年期间经济成长率平均达5.2%,成长率仅次于中国大陆、印度。过去10年印度尼西亚经济成长波动幅度比经济合作暨发展组织(OECD)会员国或金砖五国(巴西、俄罗斯、印度、中国大陆、南非)都还要小。
南非标准银行(Standard Bank)黄金实体流动指针显示,自现货黄金价格跌破每盎司1,300美元价位后亚洲地区黄金需求就出现转强迹象。
中国大陆知名经济学家谢国忠发表专文指出,今年下半年黄金可望有不错的表现、预估5年内将有机会站上3,000美元/盎司。他表示,美元走强虽将会对金价带来压力,但黄金定价权正从西方转向东方、五年内上海将取代纽约或伦敦成为黄金主要交易市场,金价未来将与美国货币政策脱钩、转而与中国形成密切连动。
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本文来源: 大田环球贵金属
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