分析上半年金价下跌原因
关键字：金价下跌原因
8月金价波幅为1270-1350美金，8月市场只经历一半，当然市场最近波幅围绕8月头非农数据，失业率，欧洲央行议息，以及上月fomc会议结果作为主要焦点。
经过6-8月短期观望，大致上市场受到一些数据面作出恐慌性抛售，所以制造8 月低位1272，情形与6月28日1180金价低位的情况类似。
最主要原因是美联储局长伯南克发言，表示联储局对于稳定美国经济状况的政策上仍然犹豫不决，依然要观察美国实际经济数据，例如失业率低于7%以及非农业就业人口要达20万以上才会考虑初步收减买债，令市场模糊而大量抛售黄金，同时美港股市连带受避险情绪拖累，但大跌过后迅速收复失地，而后市依然会支撑金价向上。
短期一两个星期会持续上升，支持位1270为该月低位，阻力位1350，目标见穿1400，因为第三季度因素，实体黄金支持量会因东南亚地区对实金需求而显著提高，黄金流通，交投量也主要在这个时期有明显利好条件，月底会有机会升穿1400，1430等价位。
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本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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