本周聚焦美国GDP 黄金“祸福”难料
回顾上周，上周美联储主席伯南克在美联储发布政策决议之后就经济及货币政策现状及前景状况发表了讲话，并暗示若美国经济复苏势头继续延续，当前的量化宽松购债措施或在明年告一段落。 伯南克的话音刚落黄金价格瞬间由1390美元/盎司关口附近，急转直下，大有“飞流直下三千尺”之势，周四尾盘段，现货黄金价格暴跌近5%，录得自2008年经济危机以来的最大单日跌幅。而周五黄金显然对这轮跌势不善罢甘休，亚市盘又进行了一轮的洗劫，盘中最低触及近三年以来低位1269.41美元/盎司。晚间纽约盘，黄金虽然一度回升至千三关口附近，但明显买气不足，伯老带来黄金市场的致命伤痕，短期之内恐难以修复。 本周的美国GDP数据又将强势来袭，对于黄金市场是“福”还“祸”目前还难以确认。显然，伯老在抛出QE有可能缩短的言论，是基于美国良好的经济基本面。但美国当前经济是否真的那么“美好”，GDP数据是最有发言权的。若数据令市场大失所望，黄金或许有望翻盘，反之，仍有再创新低的概率。
6月24日最新消息，美国ETF黄金基金SPDR Gold Shares 减仓5.41033吨。使得净持仓量到989.94吨，连续性的减仓说明机构对于黄金后市并不看好。
黄金
黄金由于前期跌幅过大，周五出现了一个小幅反弹的过程，从4小时图来看，目前5日和10日均线形成金叉，MACD指标即将金叉，表明市场即将进入震荡区间，但由于4小时仍然多头排列状态，建议投资者逢高做空为主，尽量不要操作多单。
白银
白银在上周五也形成一个震荡回调的走势，并且收盘站上20美元/盎司上方，从小时图上看一只是震荡缓慢上升的态势，今日早盘有所回调，目前kdj指标出现死叉，MACD红柱也有所收敛，若再次反弹没有冲破在间高点的话，可尝试空单介入。
今日操作建议：
天通银 4030-4050附近尝试空单，止损4080，目标3920附近
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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