熊傲君：CPI数据将成关键，黄金价格稳步前行
近段时间的黄金价格出现持续性走高，因为在通胀数据逐步回落的情况下，目前市场普遍认为美联储将会进一步放缓加息的步伐，这使得美元指数在高位持续走弱，从而帮助黄金获得了极大的利好。本周还有非常关键的美国CPI数据的公布，而一旦再次有明显回落情况的话，恐怕金价还会进一步打开上方空间。
通胀数据明显回落成关键
之所以造成黄金价格在上个月就开始出现大幅反弹的主要原因，毫无疑问是在于开始看到美国通胀水平的回落，尽管目前离设定的目标2%依然有较大的差距，但是已经明显看到此前美联储的大力度加息政策产生了效果，所以在这样的局面下，美联储很有可能会在今年进一步放缓加息的力度，这种背景下往往是黄金最喜欢的情况，所以不排除后市有望再次冲击2000大关。
经济衰退风险也施加利好
除了通胀数据的回落可能导致美联储放缓加息以外，全球经济衰退风险的迹象愈发明显也对美联储施加了压力，因为近期的各项经济数据都有明显的回落，尤其是此前的非农数据不及市场预期，就引发了隐忧，当时金价就直接起飞。假如接下来美国的经济数据继续表现不佳，那么将会导致美联储不得不尽快减速，所以双方面都会导致市场认为美联储甚至有可能在今年停止加息。
随着加息进程的深入，2023年可能迎来金融市场的转折点，关键原因在于通胀水平的回落以及经济衰退的迹象，都会导致美联储即将减慢加息步伐，尤其是本月还有美联储利率决议的情况下，而一旦释放出鸽派的信号，那么黄金价格的未来前景将会变得更加可观。
本文来源： 大田环球贵金属
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