黃金多頭若再不發力，美元受追捧將打壓金價！
關鍵詞：美元受追捧將打壓金價
國際現貨黃金週一(3月29日)重挫超過20美元，最低觸及1705.58美元/盎司，多頭已經開始退守1700美元重要關口，可以看出美債收益率的再度攀升對黃金再次造成打擊。對沖基金爆倉引發的後續反應不斷發酵，導致市場再度追捧美元，同時美債收益率的攀升也在推高美元，令無息資產黃金面臨較大壓力。因此即便市場避險需求依然存在，但這對於當前黃金的支撐效果較為有限。
強勢美元是金價下跌背後的罪魁禍首。美國疫苗方面取得令人鼓舞的進展，激發了人們對美國經濟更快復蘇的希望，從而提振了人們對美元的興趣。如果美元在未來一周延續漲勢，這可能會拖累金價走低。如果歐洲的新冠肺炎相關擔憂加劇了避險需求，金價仍可能反彈。
與此同時，雖然歐洲疫情局勢在推動避險需求，但歐洲和美國的接種進度不同，進一步吸引投資者買入美元，這令美元走強的趨勢得到穩固。一周倉位數據顯示，美元看多的整體趨勢依然穩固，對沖基金削減整體空倉押注至2020年6月以來最低水準，同時增加對日元的偏空押注。如果美元繼續走強的話，黃金和股市可能會延續近期同步走低的局面。
目前市場關注的是，拜登政府關於數萬億美元財政支出計畫的細節，許多人期望該計畫可為全球經濟復蘇提供動力。雖然此舉可能會一定程度上打壓美元，但同樣也會改善風險情緒。
整體來看，近期對於黃金而言，日子確實不太好過，因所有的利好消息背後都站著利空影響，這就導致多頭很難獲得持續的反攻動能。
本文來源： 大田環球貴金屬
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